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Showing posts with label let me be clear. Show all posts
Showing posts with label let me be clear. Show all posts

Tuesday, August 27, 2013

"Red Line" According to the Military? "You Can Get Shot"

    The declaration of a "red line" by President Obama a year ago regarding Syria and chemical weapons has provoked confusion among even the president's supporters, and derision from his detractors.  In a recent State Department press briefing, spokesperson Jen Psaki had the unenviable task of trying to make a fuzzy policy seem otherwise:
MS. PSAKI: Well, the redline has been clear. I know there’s been some confusion about this. The redline is the use of CW, the use of chemical weapons. That was crossed a couple of months ago. The President took action, which we talked about at the time. While, as I mentioned, we’re still focused on nailing down the facts – the intel community is focused on that, the Administration is focused on that – if these reports are true, it would be an outrageous and flagrant escalation of use of chemical weapons by the regime. So our focus is on nailing down the facts. The President, of course, has a range of options that we’ve talked about before that he can certainly consider and, of course, discuss with his national security team...
MS. PSAKI: We did take action. We did – we’re not going to outline the inventory of what we did. That remains the same as it was a couple of months ago. But the President acted. We crossed a redline. It did change the calculus, and we took action, and we have the opportunity, or the option, to do more if he chooses to do more...
MS. PSAKI: I’m not going to outline the conversations, the private conversations, that are happening. There is broad agreement that any step we would take would be one – the decision would be part of what’s in our national security interests, what helps advance our interests in Syria, and certainly, the crossing of a redline would be part of that calculus and part of that decision. But there’s a range of options that are being discussed as well as a range of step – a range of incoming information that’s being discussed as part of these meetings as well. 
    Since the context of the president's red line declaration is a military conflict, it seems fair to look to the military for a definition.  Fortunately, we do not have to look far.  On July 18 of this year, Deputy Secretary of Defense Ashton B. Carter addressed the Aspen Security Forum in Aspen, Colorado.  While Carter was not discussing Syria or setting conditions on the conduct of foreign nations, in the course of answering a question, he gave an example of a literal military “red line”.  The contrast to the Obama administration’s red line ("exploring a range of options", "change the calculus") is stark:
And you have to have a system, which I would liken to our longstanding system for handling nuclear weapons.  You know, we have no-alone zones.  We have two-man rule.  You go out to, you know, Barksdale and walk around the Apron, and you'll see a red line.  And it says you cross that red line, you can get shot, because there are areas where you're simply not to be, because proximity to nuclear weapons is too sensitive and momentous a thing to be allowed for individuals.  Because, you know, there's always some aberrant individual somewhere, and you've got to recognize that fact. 
    The guards at Barksdale Air Force Base do not “explore a range of options.”  Crossing the line does not "change the calculus." It's not calculus at all - it's geography.  "You cross that red line, you can get shot."  Bashar al-Assad does not seem to take "getting shot" by the U.S. seriously.
    The State Department's diplomatic personnel might be uncomfortable with the concept of a red line; hence Ms. Psaki's reticence about specifics.  But President Obama is the commander-in-chief of the most powerful armed forces in the world.  Guards at Barksdale Air Force Base cannot and would not tolerate someone playing chicken on the red line on the Apron with the security of nuclear weapons.  And President Obama should not have allowed Assad (an "aberrant individual" if ever there was one) to entertain any doubts about the intentions of the U.S. if he flouted the chemical weapons red line.  The consequences should have been clear and unequivocal.
    The president often employs the phrase, "Let me be clear."  As his administration struggles to regain foreign policy credibility and formulate a response to the latest alleged use of chemical weapons by Assad, let us hope that this time, the president is indeed clear.  Our national security depends on it.

Tuesday, October 2, 2012

Debate Prep for the Rest of Us

    If the candidates spend days on debate prep, then it's only right those who will watch put in some time as well.  For those of you who will watch (have I mentioned I don't like to watch TV?,) here's an idea to help you plow through.

    When I was young, I had a game that I would play in church that helped get me through the sermon. I would write down "Jesus", "God", "Lord", "Christ", and other common words that our pastor used in his messages.  Then throughout the message, I would keep a running tally of how many times each word was used and see which word "won" by the end.  (I would also get a pack of Smarties and randomly eat one about every three minutes to see which color would "win", but that doesn't have nearly as much relevance to this post.)  These games kept me out of trouble and the first actually made me listen to the messages - eventually, I outgrew the need for those crutches.  Now I can get through an entire sermon with just a little help from my wife's elbow (sorry, Keith.)

    I bring this up with Wednesday night's Presidential Debate in mind.  Just in case things get boring (as  Chris Cillizza and Aaron Blake at the Washington Post fear,) a variation on my old sermon game might do the trick.  Just make a list of common phrases for which each candidate is well known.  For instance, Mitt Romney: "I like to fire people!"  Just kidding.  Honestly, I don't know a whole lot of Romney phrases - I guess that's not a good sign.

    Barack Obama, on the other hand, has had four or five years to build up a nice repertoire of stock phrases.  It's as if his speech writers dig through his metaphorical dresser drawers for those really comfy t-shirts that he's so used to wearing and lay them out time and again.  For instance, "let me be clear" (so common you'd think they'd put it on a sweatshirt... oh, wait...) and "make no mistake."  Start with these two phrases and you are halfway to reconstructing virtually every speech and set of campaign remarks President Obama has given since 2007.

    Well, that should get you started.  (I tend to over-explain things, so I'm cutting this short to avoid beating it to death.)  Grab a pencil and paper and start writing.  You'll be all set by the time the debate kicks off tomorrow night.  And maybe you can stay awake for it.

* * * * *

    One last note:  Those two common Obama phrases?  In case you were wondering, a search of the Press Office section of the White House website produces the following totals:
"Let me be clear" - 149
"Make no mistake" - 230
     So the favorite going into tomorrow night is obviously "make no mistake."  But let me be clear: May the best phrase win.